Petrol and diesel vehicles could remain predominant for the next ten years

By 2030, at least seven countries, including Singapore and Sweden, will prohibit the sale of new petrol vehicles. However, fossil fuel cars in Australia are expected to dominate new car sales that year. By 2035, when 13 additional countries, such as the UK and Japan, join the ban, nearly half of Australia’s new car sales will still be petrol and diesel vehicles.

A report on Australia’s future emissions highlights a concerning trajectory, suggesting the nation could miss climate targets without significant changes in transportation. Experts advocate for rapid electric vehicle adoption, well beyond current projections, to align Australia with global trends.

The report from Australia’s federal climate change and energy department projects that transport emissions, primarily from cars and light commercial vehicles, will rise to 21% of Australia’s total emissions by 2030. It warns that electric vehicles will only constitute a small fraction of new car sales without industry changes by 2035.

Greenpeace Australia Pacific and the Electric Vehicle Council express concern over the slow transition to low-emission technology, emphasising the need for more affordable and accessible electric vehicles. They argue that Australia needs to catch up to global norms, where electric vehicles are increasingly the standard.

Australia’s government has been criticised for delaying the introduction of a fuel-efficiency standard, which is seen as crucial to boosting electric vehicle sales and meeting emissions targets. Energy Minister Chris Bowen reaffirms the government’s commitment to this standard and to reducing emissions by 43% by 2030.

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